
61.6k tapped and rejected as planned. Once btc is accepted into the NY range (3 5 consecutive 5m candle close ) we can open new shorts again today —————————— 61.6k 点被攻破,并按计划被拒。一旦比特币被纳入纽约区间(连续 3 5 根 5m 蜡烛收盘),我们就可以在今天再次打开新的空头。
Update for Day traders : —————————— 日间交易者的更新 :

There is nothing wrong in shorting rn , But if you enter a short afterits accepted below the NY range , The position dumps lot smoother and wait time is a lot less , you feel me ? —————————— 目前做空没有错,但如果你在它跌破纽约区间后做空,抛仓会顺利得多,等待时间也会短得多,你明白我的意思吗?
PLan is to exit shorts at 60.6K and leave the range from 60.6K to 58.8K . —————————— 计划是在 60.6K 退出空头,并离开 60.6K 至 58.8K 的区间。
We have a limit long at 58888 for now —————————— 我们目前在 58888 限价做多
Planned move for next week —————————— 下周的计划行动

This move would end before or as soon as they announce ETF approval —————————— 此举将在他们宣布 ETF 获得批准之前或之后立即结束
UPDATE FOR INVESTORS : —————————— 投资者更新 :

One of these arrows is 200 DEMA retouch —————————— 其中一个箭头是 200 DEMA 修图
One of these is liquidity sweep below 200 DEMA —————————— 其中之一是低于 200 DEMA 的流动性扫描
Even though BTC is range bound , Investors lost confidence with constant bleeding and chop —————————— 尽管 BTC 处于区间内,但由于不断出血和剁手,投资者失去了信心
So for every dip in $BTC , retail sells —————————— 因此,每当 BTC 美元下跌,散户就会卖出
Most likely 58.88K is where we should expect whales to open longs , Until now , They havent opened yet —————————— 58.88K很可能是我们应该期待鲸鱼打开多头的位置,直到现在,它们还没有打开。
Once they do , They lower the price below their entry and dump alts lower to make us lose confidence —————————— 一旦他们这样做了,他们就会把价格降到他们的入场价以下,然后再低价抛售特例,让我们失去信心。
So your alts may go slightly lower than ur entry —————————— 因此,您的分身可能会比您的入门价格略低一些。
As long as we stay above the green box , We gotta stay strong in positions —————————— 只要我们保持在绿框上方,我们就必须保持强势地位

The yellow box may extend upto September if we dont cross Level 1 in July . If we do we may start pumping before that —————————— 如果七月份没有超过 1 级,黄框可能会延伸到九月份。如果超过了,我们可能会在此之前开始抽水。
Elections depends on social media and people have attention span and memory of goldfish these days —————————— 选举取决于社交媒体,而如今人们的注意力和记忆力就像金鱼一样脆弱
So we should assume Market should be in green before during and after election to drive the spirits up —————————— 因此,我们应该假定,在选举前后,市场都应该是绿色的,这样才能使人们的情绪高涨。
So there is a chance we stay within the yellow box until Sep —————————— 因此,在 9 月之前,我们都有可能保持在黄框范围内。
The yellow box can extend upto 2-3 months —————————— 黄色包装盒可延长至 2-3 个月
The amber box could be post election dump (Happens after every election) —————————— 黄色方框可能是选举后的垃圾(每次选举后都会出现)。
So ideally June 22, Sep 22 , Dec 22 are good entries for 75K —————————— 因此,理想情况下,6 月 22 日、9 月 22 日、12 月 22 日都可以申请 75K
Unless the green box is lost , I wouldnt sell anything before 75K —————————— 除非绿盒子丢了,否则我不会在 7.5 万之前卖掉任何东西。
200 DEMA retouch and liquidity sweep are entries too , Im keeping track of their entries . Ill announce when Whales open large longs . Those who didnt enter earlier wait for ST and SPRING . We will get new entries again, You dont gotta fomo . Those who stayed can average or simply stay and endure volatility. —————————— 200 个 DEMA 修饰和流动性扫除也是条目,我一直在跟踪他们的条目。当鲸鱼开启大额多头时,我会宣布。那些没有提前进入的人等待ST和SPRING .我们将再次获得新的入口,你不必fomo .那些留下来的人可以平均或干脆留下来忍受波动。
This is not a trade recommendation but an example to show you how alts are gonna move —————————— 这不是一个交易建议,只是举例说明合金会如何变化

First arrow is our entry —————————— 第一支箭是我们的参赛作品
Second arrow is how low it can go after July pump again —————————— 第二个箭头是七月再次抽水后的最低点
When this happens , We gotta stay mentally strong to hold it through —————————— 当这种情况发生时,我们必须在精神上保持强大,才能挺过去。
Another example is SOL to 110-115 area —————————— 另一个例子是 SOL 至 110-115 区域
Nothing changed after SOL ETF news —————————— SOL ETF 消息发布后一切照旧
It could still go that low before it starts going up —————————— 在开始上涨之前,它仍有可能跌到那个低点
Even though I dont see whale orders on BTC I could see on mainstream alts like SOL —————————— 尽管我在 BTC 上看不到鲸鱼订单,但在 SOL 等主流 alts 上却能看到。

These are large orders , Retail cant afford to throw 60-70M in SOL , These are whales . —————————— 这些都是大订单,零售商不可能在 SOL 上投入 6000-7000 万美元,这些都是巨额订单。
While shaking us out they are buying alts —————————— 在把我们抖出来的同时,他们还在购买分身
Typically they send price below their entry to neutralize traders in the right direction , Or to grab liquidity from high leverage traders —————————— 通常情况下,他们会让价格低于他们的入场价,以中和方向正确的交易者,或者从高杠杆交易者那里抢夺流动性。
They cant take it from spot investors —————————— 他们无法从现货投资者手中抢走
Which is why Im not giving you swing longs in leverage yet —————————— 这就是为什么我还没有给你杠杆式多头的原因
When it crosses level 1 , The accumulation ends , Thats when we can go for swing long in leverage . Until then we gotta trade level to level —————————— 当它越过 1 级时,累积结束,这时我们可以利用杠杆进行波段做多。在此之前,我们必须逐级交易
Back in March , I screamed from bottom of my throat to sell . I was losing reputation , discord members but I stuck to my plan . If you look back that was the top for alts , Alts and BTC dont move the same . This time too Im gonna scream that we are going up now , Its gonna be hard to believe but dont mess up this time and go high leverage , Youll make just as good gains in spot if you hold patiently. —————————— 早在三月份,我就嚷着要卖掉它。我失去了声誉,discord成员,但我坚持了我的计划。如果你回顾一下,那是alts的顶部,Alts和BTC的走势是不一样的。这一次,我也要尖叫,我们现在正在上升,这将是难以相信,但这次不要搞砸了,去高杠杆,如果你耐心持有,你会在现货中获得同样好的收益。
75K is the hard exit , We gotta stay patiently in spot until it hits —————————— 7.5 万元是一个艰难的出口,我们必须耐心等待,直到它到来。
There is a minor deviation on the LTF chart —————————— LTF 图表上有轻微偏差
So here is the updated chart —————————— 以下是更新后的图表
Unless $BTC breaks out above level 1 , A pump is not in consideration —————————— 除非 BTC 突破 1 级,否则不考虑 A 泵
We are only gonna chop for several weeks if not months before break out —————————— 在爆发之前,我们只能砍几个星期,甚至几个月。
Regardless of ETH ETF approval / denial we are at a liquidity zone —————————— 无论 ETH ETF 批准与否,我们都处于流动性区域
An acceptance below R1 is a big short again —————————— 低于 R1 的接受度又是一个大空头

Until the news comes out , we are gonna be taking one long posistion , Likely gonna be LDO —————————— 在消息公布之前,我们将采取一种长期立场,可能是 LDO。
We gotta wait for 1 1H close below R1 to big short again —————————— 我们必须等待 1 个 1H 收盘价低于 R1,才能再次大举做空
63.3-63.9K is hard exit for longs . —————————— 63.3-63.9K 对于多头来说是很难退出的 .
SPOT holders gotta hold strong 58K is still in cards , we are not out of the woods yet —————————— SPOT 持有者必须坚守阵地,58K 仍有可能,我们尚未走出困境
观点总结:相当于vivi认为比特币和以太坊还会经过一段时间的震荡,上涨的时候是以太坊ETF获批的时候,比特币没有突破并站稳63674以上的话,就不可以盲目乐观,目前来看比特币依旧没有站稳63674,后续收线收不上去的话按vivi的观点来看,接下来比特币将会回调,但是回调后依旧是看涨的,这点大家需要注意一下。不过从今早亚洲收盘的价格62700来看,比特币还是比较健康的,周线上看也是收的一个锤子线,持有多单的小伙伴可以继续持有哦,大家可以参考一下vivi的观点。
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