2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

This is the sub path for day traders for this week. We wouldn’t see any major move to the upside yet. 62.8k is a strong resistance still. I don’t see any large orders to break through that yet. —————————— 这是本周日间交易者的次要路径。我们还不会看到任何重大的上行走势。62.8k 仍是一个强大的阻力位。我还没有看到任何大单突破该阻力位。

We just gotta see another daily close above 60k today to see strength. After 3 consecutive daily closes there will be a retracement. There are orders at 60.1k and 58.3k. It can bounce anywhere. It can even wick down to 200 dema. All we gotta make sure is a daily close above 60k to make sure the structure is intact. So for next impulsive move we must wait until next week. High leverage longs must be closed today. Low leverage longs can stay through volatility spots can stay too —————————— 我们只需看到今天的日收盘价再次超过 60K,就能看到强势。在连续 3 个日线收盘后,将会出现回调。60.1k 和 58.3k 处有订单。它可以在任何地方反弹。它甚至可以跌至 200 dema。我们要确保的是日收盘价高于 60K,以确保结构完好无损。 因此,我们必须等到下周才能进行下一次冲动性波动。高杠杆多头必须在今天平仓。低杠杆多头也可以在波动中继续持有。

also don’t worry about Silk road, German govt news Etc. Bunch of bad news near a bottom is not uncommon in the market. If you remember every media channel talked about Bitcoin before btc dropped from 75k to 56k. Unless btc closes below 60k on the daily, we shouldn’t pay attention to these news, only if it does, we go for plan B. —————————— 也不用担心丝绸之路、德国政府新闻等。底部附近的一系列坏消息在市场上并不少见。如果你还记得,在比特币从 75k 跌到 56k 之前,每个媒体渠道都在谈论比特币。除非比特币日线收盘价低于 6 万,否则我们不应该关注这些新闻,只有当它跌破 6 万时,我们才应该执行 B 计划。

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

Something we should pay attention to, outflows are seen only in $BTC and $ETH, while shaking out, Institutions are buying Alts. You and I don’t got 98 million to buy solana . This is very common near a local bottom —————————— 我们应该注意的是,只有 BTC 和 ETH 出现了资金外流,而机构正在购买 Alts。你和我都没有 9800 万美元来购买 Solana。这种情况在局部底部附近很常见
2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
Posting it here so we don’t miss. There is liquidity below this equal low, we may get a liquidity sweep below this low this weekend (very likely ) . So set some long orders below this level. Big short orders are very close to 200. Also 200 is a psychological level which makes people trust sol and long. So if we get this filled we might a good decent swing long entry —————————— 在此发布,以免错过。在这个相等的低点下方有流动性,本周末我们可能会在这个低点下方进行流动性清扫(很有可能)。因此,在此价位下方设置一些多单。大空单非常接近 200。另外,200 是一个心理价位,会让人们相信多头和空头。因此,如果我们成交了这个单子,我们可能会有一个不错的波段多头进场。

I have 4 orders at 110, 113, 115 ,117 with 5x leverage A wick can go as low as 110. For all of them my sl is at 100, just for the sake of having an SL —————————— 我在 110、113、115 和 117 点下了 4 单,杠杆为 5 倍。所有这些订单的止损价都是 100,只是为了有一个止损价。

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

$BTC is almost at 60.5k, retracement target from TP2 I gave last night. —————————— 比特币快到 60.5 千美元了,这是我昨晚给出的 TP2 的回调目标。

Once London low is swept, we must wait for 1H close above London low / 3 consecutive 15m close above London low to long again. We can target TP3 (63k) or very close to TP3. Plz don’t long unless we see 1H close above London low. —————————— 一旦扫过伦敦低点,我们必须等待 1H 收盘价高于伦敦低点/连续 3 个 15m 收盘价高于伦敦低点,才能再次做多。我们可以以 TP3(6.3 万)或非常接近 TP3 为目标。除非我们看到 1H 收盘价高于伦敦低点,否则不要做多。

1H close below London low invalidates the bounce. I’ll update at 4Pm again —————————— 1H 收盘价低于伦敦低点,则反弹无效。我将在下午 4 点再次更新
Aave/CRV /UNi (lending ) , Link , Avax, ens / ethfi (eth etf hype ) are the picks if btc closes above London Low on 1H —————————— 如果上半年比特币收盘价高于伦敦低点,Aave/CRV /UNi (lending ) , Link , Avax, ens / ethfi (eth etf hype ) 将是首选。

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

Accumulation fractal before $BTC takes off above level 1 —————————— 在 BTC 突破 1 级之前的累积分形
This week’s long exit – 62.7k —————————— 本周多头退出 – 62.7k

Next week’s hype – Eth Etf approval – long exit TP3 (63k) —————————— 下周炒作 – Eth Etf 批准 – 多头退出 TP3 (63k)

Even 2-3x leverage trades must exit at 63k. —————————— 即使是 2-3 倍杠杆交易,也必须在 6.3 万时退出。

Even btc long in leverage must exit —————————— 即使是杠杆多头比特币也必须退出

58888- $BTC long limit long 1 —————————— 58888- $BTC 多头限制多头 1

59300+ $BTC long limit long 2 —————————— 59300+ 美元 BTC 多头限制 多头 2
2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
Wyckoff accumulation —————————— 威科夫积累

Fractal from 2021 accumulation —————————— 2021 年积累的分形
2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
To put it simply retail thinks its double top and are tryna short neckline break —————————— 简而言之,散户认为这是双重顶部,并试图做空突破颈线。

Which is correct —————————— 哪个是正确的

But what you should notice is, there is liquidity above equal high —————————— 但你应该注意到的是,流动性高于相等的高位。

So sweeping that before dumping is ideal —————————— 因此,在倾倒垃圾之前将其清扫干净是最理想的做法

Spot investors stay patient. We might see more and more bad news while its accumulating. You cannot give up unless we see the structure break. I can chart it but its upto you to not give up during adverse times to make gains. —————————— 现货投资者保持耐心。在其积累过程中,我们可能会看到越来越多的坏消息。除非我们看到结构被打破,否则不能放弃。我可以绘制图表,但在不利时期,要想获得收益,就得靠自己不放弃。

So today, everyone will try to short due to the news, so from 60.5k its most likely gonna be pushed up to grab liquidity. —————————— 因此,今天每个人都会因为这个消息而试图做空,所以从 60.5k 开始很可能会被推高,以抢夺流动性。

Real silk road effect will have its effect on the weekend. —————————— 真正的丝绸之路效应将在周末产生影响。

Everyone must get bullish a bit to dump back to 59k again —————————— 每个人都必须看涨一点,才能再次抛回 59k

It can be exhausting to wait in this price action but it’s less than a month’s wait time from here. —————————— 在这种价格走势下等待可能会很累,但从现在开始等待的时间还不到一个月。

As said earlier whales are yet to open new big longs. They will open when it pumps to 63k from 59k likely. When they dump back from 63- 58k, people who are in the right direction will be neutralized. So ideal long is the imbalance they leave when big longs are opened during ETF approval. —————————— 如前所述,鲸鱼还没有开出新的大多头。当指数从 5.9 万点上升到 6.3 万点时,他们就会开仓。当他们从 63- 58k 抛回时,方向正确的人就会中和。因此,理想的多头是他们在 ETF 批准期间开立大额多头时留下的不平衡。

If in doubt zoom out —————————— 如有疑问,请放大

This is a text book pattern accumulation. —————————— 这是教科书模式的积累。

So when it chops up and down, don’t freak out. Don’t get emotional. Keep calm and hodl. If today’s close is above 60k, we are safe. Any chop will be contained. —————————— 因此,当它忽上忽下时,不要惊慌失措。不要情绪化。保持冷静。如果今天的收盘价高于 6 万,我们就是安全的。任何波动都会得到控制。

For day traders 60.5k sweep is still a possibility at Asia open, lets wait for 1H close above London low to long. Its a safer approach. —————————— 对于日间交易者来说,亚洲开盘时 60.5k 扫货仍有可能,让我们等待上半年收盘价高于伦敦低点时再做多。这是更安全的做法。
2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
1 to 2 —————————— 1 至 2

I want y’all to know this, for bull run these are my top 3. —————————— 我希望你们都知道,对于公牛队来说,这是我的前三名。

$sol, $avax, and $ordi —————————— sol、avax和ordi美元

They are safe to hold —————————— 它们可以安全持有

Less volatile and easy to hold —————————— 波动较小,易于持有

4th is $Inj —————————— 第 4 位是 $Inj

This may not come this month or next later this year —————————— 这可能不会在本月或今年下半年到来

Ordi at 15, inj at 7, avax at 7-10, sol at 65. Buy and just sit on them until they 10x. They are too big to fail at this point. Lets say one of them is a rug pull like Luna. Still if other 3 10xes its a win. —————————— Ordi 15 倍,inj 7 倍,avax 7-10 倍,sol 65 倍。买入后就一直持有,直到翻 10 倍。在这一点上,它们太大了,不可能失败。比方说,其中一个像 Luna 一样,是个小插曲。但如果其他 3 个都达到 10 倍,那就赢了。

I’ll walk you through the orderbook tonight and show you exactly what these levels are for better understanding. This helps you a lot in keeping calm. I totally understand its a bit hard emotionally to hold it through this chop. But just don’t look at your portfolio for 2 weeks. Will be fire from late Jul to end of Aug. Patience pays —————————— 今晚,我将带您查看订单簿,并向您展示这些级别的具体内容,以便您更好地理解。这对你保持冷静很有帮助。我完全理解,从情感上来说,要在这次下跌中坚持下去有点困难。但只要两周内不看你的投资组合就可以了。从 7 月下旬到 8 月底,市场将处于火热状态。

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
3 consecutive candles closed above 60k. So I again reiterate. Bottom is in for next leg —————————— 连续 3 根蜡烛收于 60k 以上。因此,我再次重申。下一阶段的底部已经形成
2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情
The difference between 1 and 2 is that 1 is 3 consecutive green candles – V shaped recovery —————————— 1 和 2 的区别在于,1 是 3 根连续的绿色蜡烛 – V 形恢复

2 is 3 consecutive candle closes —————————— 2 是连续 3 根蜡烛收盘

which is choppy recovery —————————— 这是波涛汹涌的恢复

However 3 consecutive candle close is still a confirmation. —————————— 不过,连续 3 根蜡烛收盘仍是一种确认。

So from here we don’t gotta worry —————————— 从这里开始,我们就不用担心了

It is choppy but we will be fine after accumulation. Hodl and chill —————————— 虽然波涛汹涌,但经过积累,我们会没事的。霍德尔和寒冷

——
For day traders, its not time to long yet. You may see some green candles, that’s trap. Lets wait for 60.5k sweep and close above London low to long. All the tokens I mentioned are really good to long. If you lost em $Avax, anything related to Eth, lending tokens and link. I’ll post when I enter if it comes to entry while I’m awake —————————— 对于日间交易者来说,现在还不是做多的时候。你可能会看到一些绿色蜡烛图,那是陷阱。让我们等待 60.5k 扫盘,收盘价高于伦敦低点再做多。我提到的所有代币都非常适合做多。如果你丢了 $Avax,任何与 Eth 有关的东西,借出代币和链接。如果在我清醒的时候进入,我会在进入时发布。

2024年6.27日vivian 分析比特币以太坊行情

That’s the trap I mentioned, this is where break out traders long. When a session opens bearish and if you see green candles that’s your short entry, not long —————————— 这就是我提到的陷阱,也是突破交易者做多的地方。当一个交易时段开盘看跌时,如果你看到绿色蜡烛图,那就是你的空头入场,而不是多头。
总结:vivi的观点是相对于她认为这周就是回调了,上涨要看下周了,但是跌的话他同样看不深,从昨晚她就让大家60500接多,但是昨晚比特币最多跌到了60700,然后是今早收盘后,他认为筑底完成。她对接下来长线的走势和山寨币进行了分析,大家可以参考一下vivi的观点

原创文章,作者:币圈君,如若转载,请注明出处:https://www.peipei.net/73161.html

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