2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

Since this has happened Im updating the LTF chart of BTC now —————————— 既然发生了这种情况,我现在就更新 BTC 的 LTF 图表
Since BTC went below to 69K can it dump directly to 60K , Are we looking to Swing short this quarter , Should we be worried ? —————————— 既然 BTC 跌破了 69K,它能直接抛售到 60K 吗?
No , Here is why —————————— 不,原因如下
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
$BTC is still above 55 , 100 and 200 Daily EMA —————————— 比特币仍高于 55、100 和 200 日均线

 

2) BTC is still yet to break the daily Bullish OB —————————— 2) BTC 仍未突破日线看涨 OB

 

3) BTC is yet to make a bearish CHoch on the Daily —————————— 3) 在日线上,BTC 尚未出现看跌 CHoch

So as of today , we are still bullish on teh daily —————————— 因此,到今天为止,我们仍然看涨日线图。

 

Daily close below 66K flips BTC bearish on the daily with a target of 62-63K before next pump —————————— 日线收盘价低于 66K,BTC 日线看跌,下一次反抽之前的目标是 62-63K

 

WHEN CAN WE SWING LONG AGAIN? —————————— 我们什么时候才能再做多呢?
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
When Sell side liquidity below the redline is swept , After BTC reclaims 200 4H ema and direspects the bearish FVG at 67.9K . —————————— 当红线下方的卖方流动性被清空后,BTC 将收回 200 4H ema,并将看跌的 FVG 预期在 67.9K 处。

 

IF ITS INVALIDATED WHEN CAN WE SWING SHORT ? —————————— 如果无效,我们何时可以做空?

 

After Daily bearish Choch ,Below 65.6K to 63-66K —————————— 日线看跌后,跌破 65.6K 至 63-66K

 

For Day Traders : —————————— 日间交易者 :

 

Ideally , At support , Hedging is the option on a tuesday if we wanna trade ,. However ., I dont see any high probability set up before FOMC . Better option is APT short ( Token unlock ) + ONDO LONG Strong volume and letting it run until FOMC . Better option is to avoid Trading Tuesday —————————— 理想情况下,在支撑位,如果我们想交易,对冲是周二的选择。但是,在 FOMC 之前,我没有看到任何高概率的设置。更好的选择是 APT 空头(代币解锁)+ ONDO 多头,强劲的成交量,让它运行到 FOMC。更好的选择是避免周二交易

 

For spot investors: As mentioned earlier , We are gonna see a decline by end of June to July. So we are gonna average again at 61-64K for 75K in Sep —————————— 对于现货投资者来说:如前所述,我们将在 6 月底至 7 月看到下跌。因此,9 月份的平均价格将再次达到 6.1-6.4 万,达到 7.5 万。
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
A is the ideal swing long entry —————————— A 是理想的波段多头入场
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

B is the swing short entry in case of PLan B —————————— 在 PLAN B 的情况下,B 是波段空头入场

 

Plan A is more probable than Plan B —————————— A 计划比 B 计划更有可能

This is the only one with Volume and reason to swing long as of now . As mentioned , I dont wanna force trades today until conditions are met . BUT helium is at a HTF buy zone and break out can squeeze it up . As of now , IM in a hedge ONDO LONG + APT SHORT . Ill recommend a trade when conditions are met . As of now , We are waiting , Im inclined to enter longs than short —————————— 这是目前唯一一个有成交量和做多理由的品种。如前所述,在条件满足之前,我今天不想强行交易。但是,氦气处于 HTF 买入区,突破后可能会挤压它。目前,我在对冲ONDO多头+APT空头。当条件满足时,我会建议交易。目前,我们正在等待,我倾向于做多而不是做空。
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

FYI , I have longed FRONT , IMO , Its in a safe zone , Ill recommend a long for the discord when BTC flips above 200 4H EMA or when it loses 66.2K on 4H , If you are trading make sure you trade with a smaller position size . Tomorrow we should get a solid trade —————————— 仅供参考,我已经做多了FRONT,在我看来,它处于一个安全区域,当BTC翻转到200 4H EMA以上或当它在4H失去66.2K时,我建议做多不和谐,如果你正在交易,请确保你的交易头寸较小。明天我们应该会有一个可靠的交易

 

To put it simply BTC has to reclaim 67.2K and close above it on 4H to enter a safe LONG Until then it can be a hit or miss —————————— 简而言之,BTC 必须夺回 67.2K,并在 4H 收盘时高于 67.2K,才能进入安全的多头行情。

2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

As of now , we havent seen any new big LONG order kick in , Volume is next to nthing . big Shorts are getting rekt. But Big longs arent opened yet . BTC is yet to reclaim 200 4H ema —————————— 到目前为止,我们还没有看到任何新的大额多头订单,成交量几乎为零。但大的多头还没有打开。BTC 尚未收回 200 4H ema

 

Hence we are still in Hedge mode . Havent closed the long or short . I have 2 pairs of hedge positions , I recommended only one ( APT short and ONDO long ) Ill update again at Asia open However , Iam still very inclined to longs not shorting —————————— 因此,我们仍处于对冲模式 .还没有关闭多头或空头。我有两对对冲头寸,我只推荐了其中一对(APT 空头和 ONDO 多头),我会在亚洲开盘时再次更新。

 

Tomorrow morning at 8:30 AM if CPI comes in lower than the previous or forecast , we can simply cut shorts and continue with longs and open HNT LONG without waiting for FOMC,. Or if BTC reclaims above 4H 200 EMA we can do it . Until then we have to wait with a hedge —————————— 明早8:30,如果CPI低于前值或预测值,我们可以直接削减空头,继续做多,并打开HNT多头,而无需等待FOMC。或者,如果 BTC 反弹至 4H 200 EMA 以上,我们也可以做多。在此之前,我们必须对冲等待。

2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情

Some huge buy orders have kicked in , First Confirmation to our bias. Still waiting for 4H 200 em ato be reclaimed to confidently go for longs —————————— 一些巨额买单已经启动,首次确认了我们的偏向。仍在等待收复 4H 200 em at,以便满怀信心地做多。

ASIA OPEN UPDATE : Asia opened bullish . Im yet to close the hedge short position . As soon as the 4H 200 EMA is reclaimed we will —————————— 亚洲开盘更新:亚洲开盘看涨。我尚未关闭对冲空头头寸。一旦收复 4H 200 EMA,我们将
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
Above POC , Increasing buy orders —————————— 高于 POC , 买入订单增加
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
Whales opened a huge long pisition at 69K —————————— 鲸鱼在 69 千米处开启了一个巨大的多头征程
2024年6.12日vivian分析比特币以太坊行情
  1. This was the one other time they opened such a huge position at 27K —————————— 这是他们唯一一次在 27 000 点建立如此巨大的仓位
  2. Considering All of these I dont think opening HNT LONG is a bad idea once BTC reclaims 4H 200 EMA and closes above it on 1H. CPI data tomorrow morning is only an added confluence —————————— 考虑到所有这些因素,我认为一旦 BTC 收复 4H 200 EMA 并在 1H 收于其上方,开设 HNT 多头并不是一个坏主意。明早的 CPI 数据只是一个额外的汇合点

原创文章,作者:币圈君,如若转载,请注明出处:https://www.peipei.net/71497.html

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