GM fam , we are at 1 rn .
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GM fam , 我们在 1 rn .
We are mostly retracing to 2 .
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我们大部分时间都在向 2 .
I can almost say 99% we aren’t done with longs just yet
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我几乎可以说 99% 的多头还没有结束
2-3 will do another 10-20% for alts .
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2-3 人将再做 10-20% 的特例。
Unless I see a solid set up I’m not shorting to 2 yet
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除非我看到一个可靠的设置，否则我还不会做空到 2 点。
Spot :
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地点 ：
Even though btc went above 64k , there is no hourly close above it . So we aren’t buying any spot yet
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尽管比特币突破了 64K，但每小时收盘价都没有超过 64K。所以我们还没有买入任何现货
Swing traders :
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波段交易者 ：
Day traders : The sentiment is short for the day but since 1-2 is a very short one , the buy pressure is yet to die down and in this retracement some may retrace most may not , we are gonna skip this leg and catch another long lower
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日间交易者：当日情绪偏空，但由于 1-2 是非常短的一天，买入压力尚未减弱，在这次回调中，一些可能回调，大多数可能不回调，我们将跳过这一段，抓住另一个更低的多头
Tokens on radar for long ; W – will squeeze hard , Enj , sui , pyth – longs are loaded , yet to break out
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多头雷达上的代币；W – 将严重挤压，Enj，SUI，Pyth – 多头已加载，尚未突破
$BTC is rejecting at 200 DEMA and range POC so far . If it goes above it , we can change bias and switch bullish , but it hasn’t yet . Unless we see 1H close above 200 DEMA , we can’t flip bullish
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到目前为止，BTC拒绝在200 DEMA和范围POC。如果它超过 200 DEMA，我们可以改变倾向，转为看涨，但目前还没有。除非我们看到1H收盘价高于200 DEMA，否则我们不能转为看涨。
Asia open scalp shorts to be closed here . Anticipating bounce again tomorrow morning .
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亚洲开盘头皮空头将在此平仓 .预计明早将再次反弹 .
DETAILED MONTHLY UPDATE
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每月详细更新
IS THE BOTTOM IN? CAN WE BUY IN SPOT? HERE IS WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
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底部是否已经到来？我们可以买现货吗？您需要知道
IMO , the bottom is in for 75K. Here is why
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在我看来，7.5 万的价格已经见底。原因如下
On Wyck off We are at SOW , PHASE B
I copied the fractal from the previous runs and it coincides with it
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我复制了之前运行的分形，它与之吻合
DAILY close above 55EMA , 100 EMA and 200DEMA
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每日收盘价高于 55EMA、100EMA 和 200DEMA
Breaker and BPR
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断路器和 BPR
There is a high chance for BTC to return to this level BPR+Breaker =60K before that upthrust to 75K
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BTC 很有可能回到这个水平 BPR+Breaker = 60K 然后再上冲到 75K
So can we buy in spot ?
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那么我们可以现货购买吗？
We can average between 60-64K , Usually Phase B is alt season in distribution
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我们的平均值在 60-64K 之间，通常 B 阶段是配送的旺季。
So even though 60-75K isnt a lot we can expect a decent rally for alts 100% bare minimum
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因此，尽管 6 万至 7.5 万并不算多，但我们可以预期，最低限度也会有 100%的特例出现。
But the chart doesnt show further upside , so what is in it for spot investors ? (已编辑)
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但图表并没有显示进一步的上涨空间，那么对于现货投资者来说，这其中有什么好处呢？
As mentioned earlier , This cycle cannot be compared with any previous cycles , We never once had ATH before Halving
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如前所述，这个周期不能与之前的任何周期相提并论，在减半之前，我们从未有过一次 ATH。
2) This price action is very typical in an election year
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2) 这种价格走势在大选年非常典型
They trend to remain choppy
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它们的趋势依然波澜不惊
SO how long can you hold spot positions? (已编辑)
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那么，您可以持有多长时间的现货头寸？(已编辑)
Ideally until End of August to first week of Sep .
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最理想的时间是 8 月底至 9 月第一周。
SPOT ENTRY POINTS
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点切入点
1,2,3
We can enter anywhere between 1,2,3
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我们可以输入 1、2、3 之间的任意位置
BTC>D is approaching a resistance and when it drops , alts start rallying
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BTC>D 正在接近阻力位，当其下降时，分币开始反弹
LIQUIDITY SWEEP below the OB on OTHERS.D
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低于其他 D 级观测台的流动性扫描
SO IS IT INVESTORs MARKET OR TRADERS MARKET
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那么，这是投资者市场还是交易者市场？
We are still currently in a traders market , That is Wyck off distribution
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我们目前仍处于贸易商市场，即 Wyck off 分销市场
However , 60K to 75K is decent enough for investors to take advantage of
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然而，6 万至 7.5 万的价格对于投资者来说已经足够合理，他们可以从中获益。
SO WHEN IS UP ONLY ?
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那么，什么时候才是 “向上”？
5-6 months post-election is when we would have a proper bull run to 100k+
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大选后 5-6 个月，我们将迎来一波真正的牛市，达到 10 万点以上。
Even though Distribution looks flat , Investors would still be able to make a lot because utility tokens rally hard in phase C and D
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尽管发行量看起来平平，但投资者仍能赚得盆满钵满，因为实用代币在 C 和 D 阶段涨势强劲
SUPPORTING EVIDENCE
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佐证
DXY rejecting at resistance —————————— DXY 在阻力位受阻
S&P bouncing at support
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标准普尔指数在支撑位反弹
Also , FED was dovish in the last meeting and they made it clear that they are not raising interest rates this year . Even though they didnt say they were gonna cut it , There are signs of mild QE here and there
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此外，美国联邦储备委员会在上次会议上表现鸽派，明确表示今年不会加息。尽管他们没有说要削减利率，但有迹象表明他们会在这里和那里采取温和的量化宽松政策。
Like student loan news last week to Fed Buy back program
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如上周学生贷款新闻到美联储回购计划
Have a look at open interest and CVD
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看看未平仓合约和 CVD
This means sell volume is declining
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这意味着销售量正在下降
On 1H , and 4H , CVD is ticking up .
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在上半年和下半年，CVD 都在上升。
All of these points to a local bottom
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所有这些都表明了当地的底部
SO based on all of these , Im buying spot between now and May 6 bottom -60K (已编辑)
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因此，基于所有这些，我将从现在到 5 月 6 日底部 -60K 之间买入现货 (已编辑)
SWING TRADERS
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摇摆贸易商
If you are some one that trades with 2-3x leverage , 60K , BPR+Breaker is a good place to open SWING LONGS
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如果您是使用 2-3 倍杠杆进行交易的人，60K，BPR+Breaker 是打开 SWING LONGS 的好地方。
HERE
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这里
DAY TRADERS /SCALPERS
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日间交易者/套利者
We will be shorting at 1 to 2 , tomorrow is the last day we will be shorting in next 2 months —————————— 我们将在 1 至 2 点做空，明天是我们在未来两个月内做空的最后一天。
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DAILY TOP FOR DAY TRADERS – 65.7K
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日内交易者的每日头条 – 65.7k
Above every high , there is liquidity . Basically Mmxm model on 4H
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每个高点之上都有流动性。基本上是 4H 的 Mmxm 模型
So these are Take profits .
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因此，这些都是获利。
TP 1 : 65kish
TP2 : 68kish
TP3: 75kish
These are for traders .
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这些是为贸易商准备的。
Spot investors can comfortably stay in spot with no intervention till 75k .
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现货投资者在 7.5 万欧元之前都可以放心地持有现货，无需任何干预。
This may not be 100% accurate , but approximately , we can stay in spot till first week of September , another buy opportunity around end of July at 64k area
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这不一定100%准确，但大致如此，我们可以在9月第一周之前保持现货，7月底左右在64000点区域有另一个买入机会。
— 今天07:11
ASIA OPEN UPDATE
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亚洲公开赛最新情况
Day traders be sure to TP your longs opened today morning at TP1. 10x or above wouldn’t survive when it retraces to 60K. If you opened a 2-3x leverage position or if it’s spot , you can stay. Personally, I opened a spot position in the morning. and Another half will be added tomorrow night or the day after. If you already entered in full its fine too, Just be aware that we would see a 10-20% drop before they take off. It doesn’t matter , the retracement will be erased before we could even blink .
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日间交易者务必将今天上午开仓的多头以 TP1 为止损点。如果回调至 60K，10 倍或以上的杠杆将无法生存。如果你开的是 2-3 倍杠杆的头寸，或者是现货头寸，你可以继续持有。就我个人而言，我在早上建立了一个现货仓位，另外一半将在明晚或后天加入。如果您已经全额入仓，也没关系，只是要注意，在它们起飞之前，我们会看到 10-20% 的跌幅。没关系，回调会在我们眨眼之前被抹去。
You gotta note how $ONDO , $CORE , $PENDLE , $TON never dipped while others did ., These are the tokens to keep an eye on . Also AI tokens are making a better come back than other categories. So Low caps like $AKT , $CLORE , $PAAL are some top picks next
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你必须注意到，$ONDO、$CORE、$PENDLE、$TON 从未下跌，而其他代币却下跌了。此外，人工智能代币的回升势头也比其他类别要好。因此，像 $AKT , $CLORE , $PAAL 这样的低市值代币将是下一个热门选择。
As planned earlier, closing leverage longs. $BTC is yet to hit TP 1. I’m gonna sleep so closing them. BTC may hit TP around London Open.
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按照之前的计划，关闭杠杆多头。BTC 尚未触及 TP 1。 BTC 可能会在伦敦开市前后触及 TP。
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